The number of “older” workers is rising at an unprecedented
rate. Older workers- those age 65 and
older- have always been present but their proportion in the workforce has been
on the rise at rates that far exceed any change in their proportion of the
population.
For my recent presentations to audiences in the US, Canada
and Australia, I customized the country-specific data on older workers. Aside from scale, the charts from each country
were remarkably similar. In each of those countries, data about older workers
shows:
- Workers over the age of 65 are increasingly continuing in, returning to, and entering the workforce
- Older workers are increasing in both full and part-time categories
- The trend has picked up pace since the early 2000s
Older workers are an
increasing reality in the workforce
The phenomenon has not gone unnoticed. Recent articles in the popular press have
highlighted this change.
“More than 53 per cent of Canadian men aged 65 or older were working in some form in 2015, including 22.9 per cent who worked full-time throughout the year, compared with 37.8 and 15.5 per cent, respectively, in 1995…” [Michelle McQuigge, “More older Canadians choose to keep working, census finds,” McLean’s / The Canadian Press . Nov 29, 2017 ]
“Overall, 255,000 Americans 85 years old or older were working over the past 12 months. That's 4.4 percent of Americans that age, up from 2.6 percent in 2006, before the recession. It’s the highest number on record.” [Andrew Van Dam, “A record number of folks age 85 and older are working,” Wonkblog Analysis , Washington Post, July 5, 2018]
“[T]he number of people over 65 remaining in the workforce has increased from 9.4 per cent in 2006 to 21 per cent in 2016.” [Gegory Bray, “Older workers are still clocking on beyond retirement age”, The Observer, July 12, 2018]
The
US quarterly data demonstrate this dramatic increase. The 1999-Q4 count was just under 4 million
workers age 65 and older. By 2018-Q2,
the number was just shy of 10 million.
And employment is not limited to those in their mid-to-late
sixties. Older workers who are farmers,
clergy, or supreme court justices may make headlines but workers in their
seventies, eighties and beyond are increasingly represented across a broad spectrum
of occupations.
“A record number of folks age 85 and older are working.
Overall, 255,000 Americans 85 years old or older were working over the past 12 months. That's 4.4 percent of Americans that age, up from 2.6 percent in 2006, before the recession. It’s the highest number on record.”[ Andrew Van Dam, “A record number of folks age 85 and older are working. Here’s what they’re doing,” Washington Post [Wonkblog-online], July 5, 2018]
Similar trends in US,
Canada and Australia
Using
employment data from the US Current
Population Survey (CPS). Employment
of those over age 65 has risen from about 10% of the population in that
category in the early 1980s to 19% in 2018-Q2 [extracted from CPS using
Unadjusted Employment – Population Ratio- Quarterly data].
Charting
this phenomenon in terms of full and part-time work shows trends that persisted
despite the global economic crisis of the early 2000s—and may have accelerated,
in part, because of it. For the Canadian
data, I compared the growth in both full and part-time employment to the change
in population category. This chart is based on a CANSIM extract of monthly employment data, not seasonally
adjusted.
For a
recent Australian presentation, I looked at monthly data but restricted the
extract to categories of workers who identified and “full time” and reported 35
hours or more of work in the previous week.
For the part-time, I selected only those who identified as working part
time and reported from one to 34 hours of work in the previous week. These
restrictions likely understate the count but provide solid evidence of a steep
increase in the working populations in both full and part-time categories.
Implications for older
workers … and those who will eventually joint their ranks
What
are the implications of increasing numbers of older workers? There are risks to workers themselves. While there is strong evidence that work is
actually good for your health and well-being, older workers have some greater
risks:
Bodies
change with age putting different joints and systems at risk of injury and
disease
- Co-morbidities tend to increase with age, a factor that may complicate risk
- Working more years increases exposure to toxins and processes associated with work (thereby increasing the possibility of occupational disease)
- Recovery times for many injuries increase with age
- Degenerative conditions and the processes of normal aging may increase the risk of injury for previously “safe” work
- Medications necessary to control common conditions associate with age may alter perception, reaction times, strength, tolerance and stamina changing the factors that influence risk (and recovery).
Some implications for
Employers
Employers
have a duty to protect all workers and older workers may face different risks
as they age, even if they are in the same occupation and work location. A female care aide in a long-term care
facility always faces slip and fall risks but the risk of fracture as a
consequence of that fall climbs sharply with age. Employers need to know how risks change with
age and take steps to reduce risk and prevent injury.
We
all know older individuals who are extremely fit in mind and body. We know that an astronaut can effectively do
that job in his late seventies and that there are marathon runners in their
90s. We all age but we age individually. Arbitrarily banning all those over 80 from
driving would be ageism; functional testing can avoid some arbitrary age
limits. How testing might be applied to
power-line electricians, transport vehicle operators, or airline pilots may be
successfully implemented but there are still risks. Commercial airline pilots face age
restrictions in some countries but the maximum age limit may be 60 or 65, apply
to either or both captain and co-pilot, and may be absent all together in some
countries. Employers and regulators must
address these risks for the safety of all their workers and others in the workplace.
We
know that “newness” to a job is a risk factor for work-place injury. Many older workers may be engaging in new
jobs or working in new locations that may carry different risks from past
experiences. Employers must avoid the
pitfall of assuming age, knowledge and experience obviate the need for
orientation and risk-specific awareness.
And for workers’ comp (and
disability) insurers and law makers
Public
policy decisions are developed in a context that often includes limited data. Most
data sets are historical and that typically means legislation is driven forward
while looking in a rear-view mirror.
Laws
or policies that have an inherent assumption of retirement at a specific age or
based on historical norms are no longer adequate. The default assumption that, but for a work
injury or disability, retirement would have occurred by age 60 or 65 is no
longer be justifiable. Wage continuance
and compensation for injured or disabled workers beyond age 65 ought not to be
arbitrarily limited when societal expectations have changed so dramatically.
There
are implications for rehabilitation and return-to-work practice as well. Disability management professionals and
return-to-work coordinators will increasingly face accommodation challenges for
older workers who anticipate and expect to work rather than be steered to a
pre-mature and unwanted departure from the workforce. With societal acceptance and even need for
older workers, the parameters of “early retirement” may well move north of 70.
Changing expectations of when we will retire
In
the 1980s and 90s, the expectation of “freedom 55” was common among the working
population. According to recent surveys
of the working population:
- In the US [2017 data], the majority of workers (53 percent) plan to work past age 65, (13 percent plan to never retire). [Transamerica, 18th Annual Transamerica Retirement Survey: A Compendium of Findings About American Workers, June 2018, TCRS 1364-0618]
- In Canada [2015 Census Data], Over 53 per cent of men and 38 of women aged 65 or older were working. [ Statistics Canada, Census in Brief: Working Seniors in Canada, Release date: November 29, 2017]
The
reality of an increasing population of older workers requires adjusting our
expectations and actions toward employment, prevention/OH&S, and workers’
compensation. The trend toward greater
participation of older workers in the labour force is not going away. It is time to reassess policies and our own
perceptions regarding the length of our working careers.